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Europe

The ruling coalition in Germany has frozen additional payments to Ukraine in order to save money

від Савицький Олексій August 17, 2024

According to the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung newspaper, the German federal government has no plans to provide additional financial assistance to Ukraine in the near future. The reason for this is the lack of funds in the current budget planning that could be transferred to Kyiv.

According to the newspaper, the suspension was initiated by Finance Minister Christian Lindner. In a letter dated August 5, he asked Defense Minister Borys Pistorius to stop allocating funds to Ukraine and monitor compliance with the established budgetary limits.

However, the already agreed payments and arms deliveries to Ukraine will be made. In 2024, Germany has planned to allocate eight billion euros to support Ukraine, with a maximum limit of four billion euros for 2025. These funds have already been allocated, and additional requests from the Ministry of Defense will no longer be granted by order of Chancellor Olaf Scholz, FAZ notes.

At the same time, according to CDU MP Indo Gedehans, Chancellor Olaf Scholz and his government are actually freezing financial and military support for Ukraine. However, Germany, together with the G7 countries, is working to create an instrument to finance Ukraine through the use of frozen Russian assets.

August 17, 2024
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Internal front

The SBU neutralized the FSB agent network that was acting in favor of Russia in Kherson.

від Савицький Олексій August 16, 2024

The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) neutralized the FSB agent network operating in Kherson. During a special operation, three members of this network were detained, who, although acting separately, were subordinated to a single Russian curator, Alexander Kostin. Kostin, who was the occupation “First Deputy Minister of Information Policy” on the temporarily occupied left bank of Kherson region, was responsible for creating agent networks in the region.

Three residents of Kherson were recruited into this network. One of them cooperated with the aggressor during the occupation of the city, but after the liberation of the territory, he disappeared from sight. The agents were collecting intelligence on the location and movement of Ukrainian defense forces to prepare Russian missile and drone strikes. Among the main targets of the enemy were the positions of mobile air defense firing groups and the bases of the SBU, National Police and Prosecutor’s Office. During the searches, mobile phones and computer equipment with evidence of criminal activity were seized from the detainees.

The detainees are charged under two articles of the Criminal Code of Ukraine: high treason and unauthorized dissemination of information about the deployment of the Armed Forces. They face life imprisonment with confiscation of property. Kostin and his accomplices were also charged with encroachment on the territorial integrity of Ukraine and high treason.

August 16, 2024
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Events

Ben Hodges, former U.S. Army Commander in Europe, commented on the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ operation in the Kursk region

від Савицький Олексій August 15, 2024

Ben Hodges, former U.S. Army commander in Europe, commented on the Ukrainian Armed Forces operation in Kursk region, emphasizing that it refutes fears of a possible escalation on Putin’s part, including the use of nuclear weapons. He noted that Putin’s worst retaliatory step was the missile attack on a supermarket in Ukraine, which confirms that the Russian dictator’s “red lines” are overrated.

Ukraine’s operation in the Kursk region disproves fears that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will escalate, former US Army commander in Europe Ben Hodges said in an interview with DW.

“This dispels the fears that Putin may resort to escalation and the use of nuclear weapons. The worst thing he did in response was to fire missiles at another supermarket in Ukraine. We have been holding back for too long,” Hodges emphasized.

He also emphasized that this operation is part of Ukraine’s defense against Russian attacks. Hodges noted that Ukraine does not intend to seize Russian territory, but this operation will force Russia to reconsider its actions.

The former US Army commander emphasized that Putin’s “red lines” no longer exist.

“The Ukrainians have taught us an important lesson – even with the total use of drones, it is possible to successfully prepare operations of this magnitude. It is clear that Russian Armed Forces Chief Gerasimov and the Russian General Staff ignored intelligence about Ukraine’s preparations for the attack,” Hodges added.

At the same time, the lieutenant general emphasized that Ukraine is not interested in seizing Russian territory, but this operation will force Russia to rethink its actions. He added that such actions are part of Ukraine’s defense against Russian attacks.

“It’s a classic example of military doctrine in action – pick the right moment, distract the enemy and reduce the pressure on your troops,” Hodges summarized.

August 15, 2024
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Ukraine

NSDC plans to tighten control over the entry of foreigners into Ukraine

від Юрій Гончаренко August 13, 2024

On Tuesday, August 13, the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine held an interagency meeting on strengthening control over the entry and exit of foreigners from Ukraine. This was reported on the official website of the National Security and Defense Council.

According to the source, the meeting was chaired by NSDC Secretary Oleksandr Lytvynenko. The participants discussed the implementation of previous decisions of the Council aimed at strengthening border and migration control under martial law.

The key proposal was to define a list of countries with visa-free regime whose citizens will be required to submit an electronic notification of their intention to enter Ukraine.

“The issue of the need to adapt Ukrainian legislation to EU legislation is becoming increasingly important,” the meeting participants noted. To this end, it is planned to develop and submit to the Verkhovna Rada a draft law on the introduction of an electronic entry notification system for citizens of visa-free countries.

Particular attention was paid to the creation of a mechanism for banning entry for foreigners whose stay in Ukraine is undesirable for reasons of national security.

It should be reminded that similar measures to tighten border control have already been implemented before. In particular, in June, it was announced that new rules for crossing the border for men of military age would be introduced.

August 13, 2024
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Events

Russia may announce new mobilization due to lack of soldiers near Kursk after Ukraine’s invasion – media

від Савицький Олексій August 13, 2024

Russia is facing a serious shortage of soldiers to fight the war in Ukraine, forcing the government to raise bonuses for recruits to avoid a repeat of the unpopular mobilization. However, these measures have not yet yielded the expected results – Bloomberg.

The military is not receiving enough recruits to compensate for heavy losses at the front, which are now the largest since the invasion began in February 2022, according to sources close to the Kremlin and the Russian Defense Ministry. On average, regional officials fulfill less than a third of their recruitment plans.

This may force Russia to consider a new mobilization. According to some sources, the new mobilization may be presented as a rotation for the frontline troops to rest, while others suggest that the draft may be announced as early as the end of this year.

A Ukrainian military breakthrough in the Kursk region of western Russia that met with little resistance underscores the Kremlin’s problems in the third year of the war. Ukrainian forces already control 1,000 square kilometers of Russian territory, and offensive operations are continuing, the Ukrainian army commander-in-chief told President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Russia has hundreds of thousands of troops on the front lines in eastern and southern Ukraine, where they are facing high casualties. The failure so far to repel Ukrainian attacks and regain control of the border has revealed a lack of defense reserves.

In September 2022, Russian President Putin announced the mobilization of 300,000 reservists, which caused widespread concern among Russians and a mass exodus from the country estimated at around one million people. To avoid a repeat of this scenario, the Kremlin has focused on patriotic appeals and monetary rewards to attract the 30,000 new soldiers per month needed to replenish the ranks.

This has pushed the Kremlin to significantly increase payments from federal and regional authorities to encourage recruitment. The pressure to meet quotas is so great that wealthy regions are forcing people from poorer areas to sign contracts to get higher bonuses.

According to knowledgeable sources, the scale of Russian losses and insufficient replenishment rates make it difficult to maintain the current strategy of slow advance in Ukraine. There is no longer any discussion of capturing Kyiv and other cities, as Russia does not have enough troops to do so.

To compensate for the slowdown in recruitment, the Russian authorities have significantly increased financial incentives. In July, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin promised to pay 1.9 million rubles ($22,000) to volunteers who sign military contracts, in addition to the 600,000 rubles already paid annually in monthly installments by the city government, along with salaries and bonuses from the Defense Ministry.

According to the mayor, new recruits can earn up to 5.2 million rubles in their first year of service if they survive, which is about three times the average annual salary in the capital last year.

St. Petersburg, Putin’s hometown and Russia’s second largest city, was also quick to join the initiative, offering recruits 1.6 million rubles.

Putin also issued a decree ordering the government to double the federal bonus for new recruits to 400,000 rubles by the end of the year and urged regional authorities to make similar payments. The average monthly salary in Russia in May was just under 86,500 rubles.

However, some regions are applying for subsidies from the government to meet Putin’s demands, as they are unable to raise the necessary funds on their own, said an official familiar with the situation.

The Russian army’s growing need for new soldiers has already sparked increased competition for labor from businesses, as the problem of staff shortages becomes more difficult to solve in Russia’s overheated economy. The pressure is growing due to the increased bonuses the government is trying to offer to attract more men to the army.

President Putin needs about 500,000 new soldiers over the next 12 months to compensate for losses and rotate troops deployed in Ukraine, Bloomberg Economics Russia economist Alex Isakov said. The current recruitment strategy, which is based on paying above-market rates to volunteers, will not be sufficient to achieve this goal. Instead, the government is likely to focus on conscripts.

The Kremlin does not disclose the exact number of Russian soldiers killed or wounded. According to Western estimates, Russia’s total losses could reach 500,000 people. The British Ministry of Defense reported on August 3 that the last three months have been the most costly for Russia in terms of casualties since the beginning of the war, reaching an average of 1,262 people per day in May.

The average daily casualty rate is likely to remain above 1,000 people through August as Russia continues its offensive on a broad front in Ukraine.

russia plans to expand its armed forces to 1.5 million troops from the current 1.15 million. In December, then-Defense Minister Shoigu said that 650,000 troops had combat experience in Ukraine.

In January, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the number of Ukrainian troops was just under 900,000. To address mobilization problems, Ukraine passed a new law in May that lowered the conscription age from 27 to 25 and narrowed the range of exemptions from service. This happened against the backdrop of tens of billions of dollars in new military aid from the United States and European allies.

In a July interview with Bloomberg News, Zelenskiy said that Ukrainian forces are now better prepared in terms of human resources than they were a few months ago. Preparing for a new counteroffensive against Russia depends on providing the brigades with the necessary weapons.

August 13, 2024
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Europe

Russian Navy rehearses scenarios of using tactical nuclear weapons against targets in Europe – media

від Савицький Олексій August 13, 2024

The Financial Times has obtained 29 secret military files from Russia, dating from 2008 to 2014, which show that Russia was planning a conflict with the West. These documents contain a list of at least 32 targets for missile strikes, including those that could be equipped with nuclear warheads.

The documents emphasize that “the high maneuverability of the fleet allows for sudden and preventive strikes, as well as massive missile strikes from different directions.” It is also noted that nuclear weapons are “usually” used “in combination with other means of destruction” to achieve Russia’s goals.

The targets of the Baltic Fleet are mostly located in Norway and Germany. These include the naval base in Bergen, Norway, radar stations and special forces facilities. According to the documents, the Northern Fleet can attack defense industry facilities, including the shipyard in Barrow-in-Furness, UK, where warships and submarines are built.

The maps also depict various war scenarios, including those with Russia’s current allies China, Iran, Azerbaijan, and North Korea.

In addition, the presentation considers the option of a demonstration strike – an explosion of nuclear weapons in a remote area “under the immediate threat of aggression” as a warning before a real conflict. This strike, according to the documents, should demonstrate “the availability and readiness to use high-precision non-strategic nuclear weapons” and “intentions to use nuclear weapons.”

The publication notes that these files show that, despite the 1991 agreement between the Soviet Union and the United States, Russia retained the ability to deploy tactical nuclear weapons on surface ships.

August 13, 2024
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Events

Reconnaissance men received weapons and equipment worth over 215 million hryvnias from private benefactors

від Юрій Гончаренко August 13, 2024

The Defence Intelligence of Ukraine has reported receiving a new batch of weapons, equipment and drones from private donors. This is stated in a post by the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine on its official Facebook page.

According to the ministry, special intelligence units received mortars, ammunition, drones and vehicles. The transferred equipment includes Daewoo Novus trucks, Mitsubishi L200 pickup trucks, ATVs, Mavic 3T quadcopters, as well as 155-mm artillery shells, 122-mm rocket launchers and 120-mm M-75 mortars.

Weapons and special equipment were purchased at the expense of the BROCARD group of companies (Egzagon LLC and Brocard-Ukraine LLC) under the Memorandum of Cooperation.

The representative of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine Yevhen Yerin noted that the transferred equipment and weapons will be distributed among the units of the Military Intelligence of Ukraine performing tasks on the front line in the near future.

Interestingly, Oksana Gut, director of Egzagon LLC, who represents the interests of the owner of the group of companies, French citizen Philippe Benassin, said that during the full-scale Russian invasion, the amount of aid allocated to support the Security and Defense Forces of Ukraine amounted to more than UAH 215 million.

“Our group’s contribution to the future of Ukraine is not limited to financial support for the army. We systematically work for the country’s economy. In 2024, the amount of taxes paid by our companies will amount to UAH 800 million. The number of employees retained during the full-scale war is 1,500, and all of them receive official salaries,” said Oksana Gut.

It is worth noting that the company is not resting on its laurels. During the event, Oksana Gut announced the amount of assistance planned for the Military Intelligence of Ukraine by the end of 2024 and handed over a symbolic certificate for UAH 100 million.

We would like to add that the servicewomen who serve in the units of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine received gift sets from the company.

August 13, 2024
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Analytics

Jesus Christ with a Kalashnikov: How was communism combined with Christianity and why did this idea fail?

від Майданюк Валерій August 12, 2024

In Latin America, full of socialist revolutionary events influenced by the Cuban Revolution, guerrilla warfare, and numerous coups d’état, Christian democratic forces in the twentieth century were distinguished by revolutionary and even socialist rhetoric.

Christian democratic parties in this region take a more radical position on agrarian reform, nationalization of property, struggle for the expansion of the state’s social policy and raising the level of education of the population. The programs of the Christian parties in this region are heavily influenced by the “theology of liberation” and the ideas of left-wing populism.

This was also facilitated by the poor results of reforms by Latin American Christian democratic governments, which often emphasized their respect for Christian morality but did little to reduce the influence of local capitalist oligarchies.

For Latin American Christian democrats, the positions of Christian socialism are quite close, while European Christian democrats have basically abandoned the concept of finding a middle “third way” (between capitalism and socialism). Latin American Christian Democrats were greatly influenced by the ideas of liberation theology, which was a synthesis of socialist and biblical postulates for the sake of social justice. One of the symbols of liberation theology was the image of Jesus Christ with a Kalashnikov rifle, a weapon that Moscow brought to the poor and long-suffering region in large quantities. Guided by the slogans of the rebellious church, many Christians and priests supported social change, participated in the guerrilla movement, formed left-wing Christian democratic groups, and radicalized Christian trade unions.

Against the backdrop of total poverty, misery, and corruption of local governments, societies were rooted in the belief that human liberation begins with the development of economic infrastructure, the creation of new jobs, and social stability. Liberation theology appealed to the figure of Jesus Christ as a fighter for the rights of the oppressed. A popular biblical story of liberation theology was the Book of Exodus, which creates an analogy from the story of the liberation of the Jews from Egyptian slavery and extrapolates the need for social liberation to the present. However, the combination of communist leftism and Christianity contradicted the tenets of the Church, which soon condemned and criticized liberation theology. Although the latter managed to leave a certain “socialist imprint” among Latin American Christian democrats.

However, in the twenty-first century, leftist influence in the Latin American Christian democratic movement has been significantly marginalized, and forces that use leftist guidelines occupy very minor positions. This was facilitated by the collapse of the Soviet Union, which supported socialist movements in the region, and the socio-economic failures of socialist governments in Cuba and Venezuela, which, having put socialist slogans into practice, plunged their people into the abyss of poverty and misery. At the same time, Christian democrats in Europe have evolved toward conservatism. As a result, today there is a rather definite ideological difference between Latin American and European Christian democracy.

Author: Valeriy Maydanyuk

August 12, 2024
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Analytics

Stereotypes about conservatism

від Майданюк Валерій August 11, 2024

There are a lot of stereotypes about conservatism today, and even people who are conservative by conviction consider conservatism to be a kind of bourgeois anachronism of Victorian England, with the atmosphere of manners of respectable aristocrats.

Conservatism was like that a hundred years ago, when the classics of liberalism were homophobes, racists, and fanatical Christians. Today, however, conservatism has little to do with the mannerisms of aristocrats like Winston Churchill. Conservatism stands for the preservation of existing values, traditions, and models of society, but this is precisely why many citizens mistakenly believe that it means a return to some archaic traditions.

Just as conservatism does not seek to preserve the existing corrupt system or imperfect bureaucratic-oligarchic structure. In institutional terms, conservatives support progress more than political forces that call themselves “progressives.” But under the rule of these “progressives,” billionaires have become many times richer, while their corporations’ employees have become poorer. Many Americans, including reputable economists, note that in the 1980s (during the presidency of conservative Republican Ronald Reagan), a person who had a job could live decently with his family on his salary, and today, a worker with three jobs is not enough to pay the bills.

Modern conservatism is primarily about preserving familiar, traditional, and supported by the majority of citizens models of family, inter-sex relations, national values, etc. If you don’t think the look of this year’s Eurovision winners is progressive and you think that more traditional participants would have been better, this is conservatism. Preservation of traditional ideas about beauty, aesthetics, culture, art, social relations, etc. If you are concerned about the Olympic boxing match between Algeria and Italy and think that something is wrong here, this is also conservatism – the preservation of the norms that are familiar to society. Ultra-liberal and leftist environments are trying to prove that norms and normalcy do not exist-that all these are artificial constructs invented for the purpose of discrimination, etc. Conservatives believe that normality, as a set of useful and generally accepted rules and regulations, exists and should exist for the public good. If you believe that normality exists, this is modern conservatism. Of course, there are constant cultural changes in history, but some social norms have remained unchanged not only for millennia, but throughout the entire written history of mankind.

Conservatism opposes the destruction by aggressive minorities of natural, rational and supported by the majority of citizens norms. Moreover, conservatives today are the main defenders of democracy and freedom of speech. After all, in its true sense, democracy is the power of the people and has always been understood as the predominance of the majority opinion. Instead, the predominance of a minority, or several different minorities, over the majority has always been condemned by supporters of democracy as a phenomenon that necessarily leads to dictatorship. In contrast to those who want to force the majority of citizens to obey the will of the minority, conservatives call for preserving the traditional model of democracy with equality for all and no privileges for certain categories.

Many Ukrainians do not realize that their views on most social topics are conservative. Not outdated, as it is often mistakenly perceived, but based on the norm and social rationalism.

Author: Valeriy Maydanyuk

August 11, 2024
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in Russia

Russian propaganda announces suspension of prisoner of war exchanges

від Юрій Гончаренко August 9, 2024

The Russian propaganda channel Mash reported on the alleged suspension of the exchange of prisoners and dead between the Russian propaganda channel Mash reported on the alleged suspension of the exchange of prisoners and dead between Russia and Ukraine for an indefinite period. The reason for this is an alleged attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Kolotylivka checkpoint, where exchanges have been taking place since 2022.

According to the sources of of the research and analysis group InfoLight.UAsources, Russia is trying to use humanitarian issues to stop the military operation currently underway in the Kursk region.

According to Mash, the Ukrainian military allegedly fired shells, allegedly from a T-84U tank, and attacked the checkpoint with kamikaze drones. As a result of the attack, the checkpoint allegedly burned to the ground.

However, InfoLight.UA experts note that such actions on the part of the Russian Federation are a blatant violation of the rules of warfare and the Geneva Convention.

“Russia is once again trying to manipulate humanitarian issues to achieve its military goals. The use of prisoner exchange as a tool of pressure is unacceptable and contrary to international humanitarian law.”

As a reminder, according to the Geneva Convention, parties to a conflict are obliged to ensure humane treatment of prisoners of war and facilitate their return, regardless of the military situation.

August 9, 2024
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