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Geopolitics

Turkey at a crossroads: protests against Erdogan

від Юрій Гончаренко March 31, 2025

Turkey, one of the key and still stable countries in the Intermarium and a potential member of a security alliance in the region, is currently experiencing a political crisis. The protests that have erupted in Turkey are calling into question the firmness of the power of Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has been ruling the country for more than two decades. These events could be a turning point for Turkish democracy, which is increasingly sliding toward authoritarianism.

The impetus for the large-scale unrest was the arrest of the popular mayor of Istanbul, Ekrem Imamoglu, whom the authorities accused of corruption and aiding a terrorist group. Since March 19, when Imamoglu was detained, Istanbul, Ankara, and other cities across the country have been engulfed in protests that are comparable in scale to those of 2013.

The authorities are responding harshly to the protesters, with about 1,500 arrests recorded, including for insulting Erdogan and his family. Journalists are also being harassed: some have been imprisoned, and a BBC reporter was deported on charges of threatening public order.

Analysts believe that the current crisis could have more serious consequences for Erdogan and Turkish democracy than the events of 2013. This is due to changes in the economic and political situation in the country.

  • First, Erdogan has gained a charismatic rival popular with the people in the person of Imamoglu.
  • Secondly, the economic situation in Turkey has deteriorated significantly, and the cost of living has become a major concern for citizens.
  • Third, conservative voters no longer show the same loyalty to Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) as they used to.

Imamoglu’s arrest took place on the eve of the primaries, where he was to be approved as a candidate of the opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP). The primaries were attended by 15 million people, which indicates a high level of support for Imamoglu.

It is noteworthy that Imamoglu was already under the threat of imprisonment for calling election commission members “fools” after the results of his victory in the 2019 mayoral elections were canceled. Moreover, the opposition leader eventually won the election after a new vote was called.

It was a paradoxical fact that Istanbul University deprived Imamoglu of his diploma, which is a prerequisite for presidential candidates, a method that does not add to the credibility and honor of the current government in Turkey.

The CHP condemned Imamoglu’s arrest, calling it a “coup,” and organized large-scale rallies in his support. Student protests have also continued, despite the harsh actions of the police. The CHP, a party associated with the founder of modern Turkey, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, is gaining electoral ground, largely due to Imamoglu’s popularity.

De facto, in Turkey, like a century ago, the struggle between supporters of the conservative, Islamic trend, personified by Erdogan, and the more secular, Western-oriented trend, which was founded in 1918 by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk and is now promoted by the Republican National Party, is again unfolding.

Imamoglu positions himself as a social democrat who is not inclined to radicalize the struggle against the Kurds and has paid attention to classic liberal democratic topics, including social and climate issues, and does not condemn LGBT people, noting that Turkish society is not ready for this.

According to the constitution, Erdogan will not be able to run for another term unless the parliament calls early elections or changes the basic law. However, there is little doubt that the ruling party will do everything possible to ensure that Erdogan gets a fourth term.

International organizations such as Freedom House have noted a deterioration in democratic freedoms in Turkey. However, the elections in the country remain competitive, as evidenced by Imamoglu’s victory in the mayoral elections. Erdogan is concerned about the country’s economic problems and the popularity of his rival. Further repressions by the authorities could lead to Turkey’s transformation from an imperfect democracy into a dictatorship.

For Ukraine, the situation in Turkey is painful because it is the only country after Ukraine that is a strong counterweight to Russian expansion in the region, has an independent position, and is not afraid to counter Russian interests in Azerbaijan, Syria, and the Black Sea. Ukraine would very much like to hope that the stability and reliability of Turkey, as an ally that supplies us with weapons and can be one of our potential allies and security guarantors, will not fall victim to Turkey’s crossroads between democracy and dictatorship.

Author: Valeriy Maydanyuk

March 31, 2025
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Anti-imperial front

Free Belarusians celebrate Freedom Day

від Юрій Гончаренко March 26, 2025

For Belarusians around the world, March 25 is not just a date, but a symbol of defiance and the desire for freedom. On this day, in 1918, the independence of the Belarusian People’s Republic (BPR), the first nation-state of Belarusians, was proclaimed. This event became the starting point in the history of the Belarusian people’s struggle for self-determination. Today, the democratic part of the Belarusian nation celebrates the Day of Freedom.

During the Soviet era, the Day of Freedom was banned and celebrated in secret, among like-minded people. After the collapse of the USSR, it seemed that the dream of an independent Belarus had become a reality, and Freedom Day briefly became a public holiday. However, with Lukashenka’s rise to power, the holiday has come under pressure again. The regime is trying to erase this date from the memory of Belarusians by banning national symbols, dispersing peaceful rallies, and persecuting activists.

Freedom Day is not just an anniversary, it is a memory of the first steps towards independence, of the dream of a free and democratic Belarus. On this day, Belarusians honor the memory of their ancestors who fought for the right to their own state and national identity. The symbols of this struggle are the white-red-white flag, the Pogonya coat of arms, and the Belarusian language.

Despite the repressions, Belarusians continue to celebrate Freedom Day, demonstrating their steadfastness and commitment to the ideals of freedom. The celebrations are especially active abroad, where the Belarusian diaspora unites to show the world that the Belarusian people have not put up with the dictatorship. Most Belarusians celebrate this day in Poland, where there is a large Belarusian diaspora.

In 2024, Lukashenka’s regime went even further, threatening to prosecute even those who participate in rallies abroad. This demonstrates the regime’s fear of the unity of Belarusians and their desire for change.

It is significant that Lukashenka’s regime decided to desecrate this national holiday by holding the “inauguration” of the bullpenführer on Freedom Day, which was a cynical challenge to the Belarusian people. The large-scale ceremony, which contrasted with the secret “inauguration” of 2020, was intended to demonstrate the regime’s strength and legitimacy. However, it only emphasized the gap between the government and the people.

Freedom Day is not just a holiday, it is a symbol of the Belarusian people’s struggle for their future. It is a day when Belarusians all over the world unite to declare their desire for freedom, democracy and European values.

And this is an important day for all the countries between the seas, and for Ukraine in particular. After all, the Ukrainian theorist of the Baltic-Black Sea Union Yuriy Lypa noted that Belarus is a kind of “helmet” that protects the “head” – the capital of Ukraine, so it should be free and friendly. Today, Belarus is the core of the Intermarium, and its liberation from Russian influence could be the impetus for a strong and robust security alliance between the Baltic and Black Seas.

Author: Valeriy Maydanyuk

March 26, 2025
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Important

Subsidiarity as a basis for effective self-government: Ukraine’s experience and European practices

від Юрій Гончаренко March 26, 2025

Ukraine is going through one of the most important stages of its recent history – the transformation of the public administration system through decentralization of power. This process is especially important in the context of war and preparation for integration into the European Union. These changes are based on the principle of subsidiarity, an idea that has become a cornerstone of the European model of local government, especially in countries with strong Christian democratic traditions.

Subsidiarity, often considered an “invention” of Christian democracy, is based on the postulates of “private above public” and “small above large.” This principle implies that decision-making should take place at the level closest to citizens, and that higher authorities should intervene only when lower levels fail to effectively solve a problem. In fact, this means that the state authorities should not interfere in the affairs of local communities without asking for such assistance.

The experience of European countries, in particular Germany, demonstrates how the consistent implementation of the principle of subsidiarity forms an effective system of local self-government. The German federal model provides for a clear division of powers between the national, regional and local levels. Local communities (Gemeinden) have broad autonomy in addressing issues of local importance, including the management of public utilities, local infrastructure, social services, and cultural development. An important feature of the German model is the financial autonomy of communities guaranteed by the Constitution, which ensures their ability to fulfill their tasks.

Since its independence, Ukraine has gone through a difficult path from the Soviet hyper-centralized model to attempts to introduce true local self-government. However, it was only after the Revolution of Dignity that the decentralization reform became systemic. Key milestones included the adoption of laws on voluntary amalgamation of territorial communities, on cooperation of territorial communities, and amendments to the Budget Code that expanded the financial base of local self-government.

Between 2015 and 2020, Ukraine underwent a process of voluntary community amalgamation that culminated in administrative and territorial reform. As a result, 1469 amalgamated territorial communities were created instead of more than 11,000 small and mostly insolvent village, town and city councils. This transformation laid the spatial foundation for the implementation of the principle of subsidiarity.

In parallel with the spatial reformatting, functional decentralization was also taking place, i.e. the transfer of powers and resources to the local level. Local budgets grew from UAH 68.6 billion in 2014 to UAH 275 billion in 2019, which significantly expanded the capacity of communities to develop infrastructure and provide services. Communities have been empowered in the areas of education, healthcare (at the primary level), social protection, landscaping, territory planning, etc.

However, the decentralization reform in Ukraine remains incomplete. The absence of constitutional amendments to enshrine the new administrative-territorial structure and guarantee the irreversibility of decentralization poses a risk to the sustainability of the reform. The system of state supervision over the legality of local government decisions is still not properly implemented. In addition, there are significant disproportions in the financial capacity of communities, which calls into question the possibility of ensuring equal access to public services for citizens regardless of their place of residence.

The full-scale war launched by Russia in 2022 posed a particular challenge to the Ukrainian model of self-government. In many cases, it was the capable communities that proved to be most effective in organizing resistance, evacuating the population, and providing basic needs. Local self-government has demonstrated the ability to act autonomously even in the face of disrupted vertical ties. At the same time, the war has exacerbated the problems of underfunding local budgets, and the occupation of large areas and internal migration have put additional strain on communities in relatively safe regions.

To further develop local self-government in Ukraine on the basis of subsidiarity, a number of strategic steps need to be taken. The primary task is to constitutionally enshrine the principles of local self-government and decentralization to ensure their irreversibility. This should include a clear delineation of powers between different levels of government and the establishment of limits for state intervention in community affairs.

The completion of sectoral decentralization implies further transfer of powers to local governments in the areas of healthcare, education, social protection, and land management with appropriate financial support. It is critically important to establish an effective system of state supervision over the legality of local government decisions without excessive interference with self-governing powers.

Financial autonomy of communities is a key condition for the implementation of the principle of subsidiarity. This requires reforming the system of local taxes and fees, expanding the tax base of local governments, and giving communities more autonomy in determining local tax rates. It is also necessary to improve the system of intergovernmental transfers by developing transparent and fair formulas for the distribution of state subventions to equalize fiscal imbalances between communities.

The success of decentralization depends not only on institutional and financial reforms, but also on the development of human capital and a culture of governance at the local level. It is necessary to create an effective system of professional development for local government officials, develop local democracy and public participation, support local leaders and initiatives, and disseminate best practices of local government.

An important element of effective self-governance is the ability of communities to cooperate and coordinate efforts to solve common problems. It is necessary to stimulate inter-municipal cooperation, develop functional regions and agglomerations, as well as cross-border cooperation between Ukrainian communities and communities of neighboring EU countries.

The post-war reconstruction of Ukraine offers a unique opportunity to strengthen local governance. It is important that the reconstruction does not take place from the top down, but takes into account the needs and priorities of each community. It is necessary to create special mechanisms for financing the reconstruction of communities, restore critical infrastructure with a view to long-term needs, and implement the principles of sustainable development and “smart cities” in the reconstruction of settlements.

Ukraine’s European integration creates additional opportunities for the development of local self-government. The principle of subsidiarity is one of the basic principles of the European Union, enshrined in the Treaty on European Union. Ukraine has the opportunity to use European support instruments to strengthen the capacity of communities, develop local democracy, and improve the quality of services.

The experience of Poland, which implemented a successful local government reform in preparation for EU accession, demonstrates that decentralization can be a powerful driver of a country’s modernization. The Polish model of the gmina, the basic unit of self-government, has proven to be effective in attracting European funds, developing local infrastructure, and improving the quality of life of citizens.

Ukraine has the potential to develop its own model of self-government that combines European principles with national peculiarities. The principle of subsidiarity, which originates from the Christian democratic tradition but has become a universal value of modern democratic governance, can serve as the basis for such a model. This will not only improve the efficiency of public administration, but also strengthen democracy, enhance national unity and create conditions for sustainable development of all regions of Ukraine.

The decentralization reform is not just a technical redistribution of powers – it is a fundamental change in the philosophy of public administration, a shift from a paternalistic model to a model of shared responsibility of the state, communities and citizens. In this sense, the principle of subsidiarity reflects a profound transformation of Ukrainian society, which seeks to build an effective, democratic and fair state where the government serves the people, not the other way around.

The introduction of the principle of subsidiarity in Ukraine is not only about borrowing from the European experience, but also about reviving our own traditions of self-government, which have deep roots in Ukrainian history. From rural communities and city government under Magdeburg law to Cossack self-government, these traditions have shaped a civic culture that values freedom, responsibility, and mutual assistance. Today, by combining these traditions with modern management approaches, Ukraine has a chance to create an effective model of local self-government that will become the basis for the prosperity of communities and regions.

March 26, 2025
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Intermarium

The logistics hub in Yasenka is currently operating properly

від Юрій Гончаренко March 25, 2025

Poland’s Minister of National Defense denies reports in the Australian media about alleged problems in the functioning of the logistics hub in Yasenka, through which most of the military aid to Kyiv passes, reports “Polish Radio” reports..

Yesterday, the Australian television network ABC reported, citing “sources in Europe,” that Australian Abrams tanks may be stuck in Poland and should be immediately sent to the embattled Ukraine. Referring to these reports, Deputy Prime Minister Vladyslav Kosinyak-Kamysh reiterated that the logistics hub in Yasenka is currently functioning properly:

“I have not been informed of any problems with transportation. After a one-week break in early March, when the Americans suspended the aid, everything returned to normal. There are no obstacles for the Australian equipment delivered to Poland to get to Ukraine. I hope these fakes will be dispelled very quickly. We are in contact with Australian diplomatic missions. If there were any problems, we would have agreed on them.”

Last year, the Australian government announced that it would transfer 49 decommissioned tanks to Ukraine. Australian media outlets report, citing “sources in Europe,” that given the cooling of relations between Washington and Kyiv, the effective functioning of the Carpathian Hub is in question.

March 25, 2025
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Intermarium

Estonia plans to build 12 new warships

від Юрій Гончаренко March 20, 2025

The Estonian Navy needs three large ships about 90 meters long and nine smaller ships 60-70 meters long.

As reported by Ukrinform, this was stated by Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur, ERR reports.

According to the head of the Estonian defense ministry, if there are problems with funding, concessions will have to be made. The service life of the country’s existing ships may also be extended.

Pevkur said that the new ships should be built in Estonia.

“In the case of vessels of this size, we are talking primarily about two builders – Baltic Workboats and BLRT. But I do not rule out that small shipbuilders will also bring their capabilities to the point where they can build smaller vessels,” the minister said.

It is noted that Lithuania has already decided to build new warships. BLRT has commissioned its Lithuanian company Western Baltic Engineering in cooperation with the Danish company OSK Design to design the 88-meter warship Perkunas.

The naval commanders of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania discussed back in 2017 what the new fleet should look like. According to the Commander of the Estonian Defense Forces, Major General Andrus Merilo, the Estonian Navy has an idea of what kind of ships they need.

“It is much more important for us to find long-term financing that will form the basis for the further development of the Navy’s ships. We need to find resources, and this work is already underway. Obviously, we will find these resources. And we are drawing up a plan for when and what kind of ships will be built,” Merilo said.

The article says that Estonia has commissioned the Swedish national research institute RISE to analyze which vessel would be suitable for military, border guard and rescue functions, as well as pollution control.

“The main desire is to get an idea of what kind of vessel would be most suitable for the Baltic region or the Baltic Sea, which would provide the Navy with multifunctionality,” Pevkur said, adding that a recommendation from RISE should come in the coming months.

As reported by Ukrinform, the Estonian State Defense Investment Center signed a €50 million contract with Austrian arms manufacturer Hirtenberger Defense Europe for the purchase of 120 mm towed mortars.

March 20, 2025
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World

Thousands of Hasidim travel to Poland

від Юрій Гончаренко March 20, 2025

Most guests are expected today and on Friday

Up to 10,000 Hasidim are expected to arrive in Lezhaysk, Podkarpackie, today and in the coming days to pray at the grave of Tzadik Elimelech on the 238th anniversary of his death. Jews will traditionally come from Europe, the United States, Canada, and Israel. After the prayer, some of them will leave the city and make room for other groups due to limited accommodation.

This was reported by “Polish Radio.

Mayor Krzysztof Trembach said that most guests are expected today and on Friday. He added that this is a big organizational challenge for the city:

“There are two foundations in Lezhaysk, one providing for about eight thousand burners, the other for more than one and a half thousand. That is, the total number is about ten thousand, and this is a big challenge for our city. I won’t hide the fact that we have been preparing for their arrival for more than a month now, together with the police and firefighters. We will do everything to ensure that the arrival of tourists in Lezhaysk is calm.”

The Hasidim who come to Leżajsk believe that the tzaddik comes down from heaven on the anniversary of his death and carries their requests to God for their health, the well-being of their children, or success at work. Elimelech was one of the three most famous tzaddiks of ancient Poland. He became famous as an active preacher of Hasidism.

March 20, 2025
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Analytics

Fajk Emese: biography, fraudulent schemes and role in the information war on the side of Russia

від Юрій Гончаренко March 20, 2025

Emeshe Fike (also known as Abigail Fuchs) is an international fraudster who was probably recruited by Russian special services to conduct information operations against Ukraine. Her main task is to damage the reputation of the Ukrainian state, especially among pro-Ukrainian Republicans in the United States and conservative circles in Europe. After a long period of silence caused by the exposure of her criminal activities in the International Legion, she is being prepared to come to the public eye again. It is quite expected that they will try to use her at a critical moment – during important diplomatic negotiations – to weaken Ukraine’s position as much as possible and undermine the trust of international partners.

Below is a detailed analysis of its fraudulent schemes, activities in Ukraine, and possible ties to Russian special services and propaganda.

Fraudulent schemes and methods

Emeszé Fike (also known as Abigail Fuchs) is a Hungarian-born woman who has been implicated in a number of fraud scandals in different countries in recent years. She has gained notoriety in Australia, Portugal, and recently in Ukraine. Even before her public appearance, Fike claimed to have a brilliant international background – for example, she listed a degree from the University of West London and experience at the UN on her resume – but the university denied that she was on its alumni list. Similar claims of working with the UN or corporations (such as Apple) have also not been confirmed: her own consulting firm Anakin Consultingalthough registered in the UK, consisted of only her and closed in 2019. These facts show that at the very beginning of her career, Emeshe Fike was creating a false legend for herself in order to gain the trust of others.

Fike gained her first widespread fame in Australia in 2020 thanks to a scandal on the TV show The Block. She “won” an auction for a house worth more than $4 million, but the payment was never received by the sellers. As it turned out, Fike provided fake bank receipts for the transfer of funds, misleading the show’s organizers. Later, the show participants whose properties she allegedly bought claimed that Fike used fictitious documents to confirm non-existent transactions.

This was not an isolated scheme: according to her former partner, Fike stole money from people close to her, pretending, for example, to be a cybersecurity expert associated with the UN. After her disgrace on the Emeshe TV project, Fike left Australia in a hurry. She moved to the Portuguese island of Madeira and even changed her name – she began living under the pseudonym Abigail Fuchs, changing her appearance (in particular, she dyed her hair).

However, the methods remained the same: the local landlord accused her of providing fake proof of rent payment, which was basically a repeat of the Australian scam. In addition to financial fraud, Fike was constantly making up false information about herself. She spoke at conferences posing as the owner of a successful consulting company with clients such as the United Nations and Apple, borrowed money from friends and suddenly disappeared without repaying the debt, or got into conflicts with landlords and left rented apartments without paying for them. The fraudster skillfully created the image of a competent and wealthy professional, supporting it with fake documents and stories, which allowed her to find new victims every time.

Activities in Ukraine and the International Legion

In 2022, after fleeing Portugal, Emeshe Fike unexpectedly appeared in the war zone in Ukraine. She joined the International Legion, a unit of foreign volunteers within the Defense Forces, and was appointed spokesperson for the legion in the summer. According to media reports, the command had limited knowledge of her background and apparently failed to conduct a proper background check (given that this took place in April 2022, it was obviously quite difficult). However, colleagues noticed the new hire’s suspicious behavior and began to informally investigate her background. In the end, old sins surfaced: the Australian press reported, based on a leak from the Legion, that Fike was the same “international con artist” who was wanted for fraud.

Later, a scandal erupted within the International Legion. Fike, who had the call sign “Mockingjay” (a rendition of the English “Mockingbird”), was suspected of misappropriating military aid. A large batch of medicines (painkillers – fentanyl, ketamine, lidocaine and others) with an estimated value of $2.5 million disappeared from the unit. Also, money sent by international donors for the needs of the Legion and the Armed Forces allegedly began to disappear, as these funds were transferred to an account controlled by Fike as a representative of the Legion. When the shortage was discovered, Fike denied any involvement and claimed that she did not know where the cargo had gone. However, the evidence was against her: the courier who delivered the medicines confirmed that Fayk was personally present when the parcel was received, and the officer responsible for sending the humanitarian aid testified that the medicines never reached the recipients. The Legion’s internal report described Fike as “a cancer that must be cut out or it will destroy the entire body of the organization,” adding that she had completely failed in all aspects of her duties. According to the same investigation, the fraudster openly abused her position: her own admissions were recorded that she “routinely used the Legion’s account for personal gain,” meaning she actually spent charitable money on herself. Later, when the circle of accusations began to thicken around Fike, some of the missing medical supplies were found (for example, a whole batch of propofol and about half of other drugs). However, the reputational damage was done: the volunteers and military leadership realized that a professional fraudster had entered their ranks.

Fike’s attempt to blackmail the Ukrainian command to avoid responsibility was particularly resonant. At the end of 2022, she traveled abroad without permission (in fact, she deserted for a short time), and after that, the command decided to get rid of her by terminating her contract. Upon learning of this, Fike resorted to blackmail: she turned to one of the high-ranking Ukrainian officers (an officer of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with the call sign “Zeus”) and stated that if she was expelled from the legion, she would “make public” all the compromising facts she knew. In secret audio recordings that were later leaked to the press, Fike was recorded saying that the information made public would “burn the Ukrainian army to the ground.” She threatened to tell journalists about internal corruption, “how equipment disappears, and how foreigners are treated [in the army],” adding that such publicity would “start so many internal investigations in the Ukrainian army that the whole army will collapse.” These statements were in fact an attempt to cover up their own crimes by intimidating commanders with a possible information blow to the image of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The Ukrainian intelligence services did not ignore theblackmail– according to the Daily Mail, Emeshe Fike’s conversations were secretly recorded by counterintelligence and released to the press as evidence of her threats.

Emeshe Fike herself denies all the accusations and calls the scandal around her a “smear campaign.” She stated that she is ready to cooperate with any official investigation, but currently sees only what she considers to be unsubstantiated accusations. However, independent journalistic investigations refute Fike’s version of the misunderstanding. In particular, the British newspaper Daily Mail published materials obtained from Ukrainian sources that detail her dubious past and financial crimes in Ukraine.

Possible role of intelligence services and threats to intelligence operations

In the context of Fike’s activities, the question is increasingly being asked: could this serial fraudster have acted not only for selfish reasons but also as part of someone else’s intelligence game? Some signs suggest a possible cover-up by intelligence services. For example, the Hungarian edition of VG.hu reported that a suspicion arose during the investigation in Ukraine: Emeshe Fike may be a Russian agent who redirected stolen military equipment into enemy hands.

In other words, the worst-case scenario is that Fike was deliberately inf iltrated into the International Legion to cause damage, both financial (stealing medicines and funds) and image. So far, no direct evidence of Fike’s work under the direction of Russian special services has been made public, but Russian propaganda has made the most of her presence. Obviously, even if Fayk was not initially a cadre agent, Russian intelligence could have taken advantage of the situation and established contact with her to encourage her to take further destructive actions or at least direct her resentment against Ukraine.

It is difficult to imagine how, without the assistance of the special services, this person could change countries and continents with impunity and safety, skillfully change his or her identity and obviously obtain false passports for each country of residence. Can an ordinary fraudster forge documents so skillfully that she is almost given a house worth $4 million?

On the other hand, it is also worth noting that she did not receive significant profits from her fraud, and stole a GoPro camera from her boyfriend from Madeira. At the same time, she gained the trust of reputable organizations, including in Ukraine, could receive confidential data and… blackmail her victims.

It is worth recalling that it was in July 2022 that Russia launched the first wave of disinformation campaigns about corruption in the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the alleged arms trade and assistance provided by allies in general. And that is why almost all Russian media and z-bloggers spread this information as much as possible.

Conclusions: Emeshe Fike’s role in the information war

The story of Emeshe Fike is a clear example of how an individual fraudster can become the “perfect weapon ” in the hands of propaganda. Her infiltration of the International Legion and subsequent exposure caused a reputational blow to Ukraine. The Mockingjay scandal stuck in the minds of many as proof of the corruption and unreliability of the legion of volunteers, which played into the hands of the Russian disinformation machine. The enemy propaganda got an excuse to claim that foreign volunteers are adventurers, and that the Ukrainian army is allegedly unable to control its own units. Moreover, Fike herself, avoiding punishment, tried to arm the information space with hostile narratives – her threats to “destroy the army with investigations” are actually an attempt to launch an information bomb in the rear of Ukraine.

Fayk’s role in the information warfare is evident even after her exposure: spreading fake news and discrediting the Ukrainian army with her participation is part of Russia’s broader strategy to sow distrust in Ukraine among its international partners and its own population. Conservative Ukrainian media rightly view Fike as an information saboteur involved in Russian propaganda scenarios.

Her story is a warning that information security is no less important than military power. Ukraine, which is confronting Russian aggression, must be ready to neutralize not only tanks and missiles, but also Trojan horses like Emeshe Fike, giving the enemy no chance to undermine our unity and the world’s trust.

March 20, 2025
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Analytics

Finland – the “scorpion’s sting” on the edge of the Intermarium

від Юрій Гончаренко March 19, 2025

Finland’s geopolitical position and recent signals from the White House are reshaping the previous stable reality in which Finland was an economically prosperous “Santa Claus’ homeland” into a defense buildup and a search for additional allies if the current ones turn out to be the same as in 1939.

Today, Finland’s geopolitical position determines its foreign economic and defense strategy. Its political goals are based on ensuring security, stability and development, which is especially important in the face of new challenges on the European continent.

Finland is a part of the European Union and a member of the euro zone, which allows it to maintain active economic and political ties with other EU countries. After many decades of military neutrality, Finland changed its foreign policy strategy by signing an agreement to join NATO in 2023. Ukrainians were surprised to see that in just a few months, without any lengthy procedures and without meeting ephemeral “NATO standards,” the country was accepted into the Alliance despite the fact that it shares a border with Russia and could “threaten” St. Petersburg, as it did in 1939. It has become clear that NATO membership is not based on any real criteria, but on the real desires of Washington and Brussels.

This strategic decision by Finland was a lucky ticket and a response to growing security threats, especially after Russia’s aggression in Ukraine, which has significantly changed the geopolitical situation in Europe. If the process of Finland’s accession to NATO had been delayed for at least two years, as it should have been according to the accession procedures, we would have seen new threats and the concentration of Russian troops on the Karelian Isthmus, and we would have heard very disappointing demands from the other side of the Atlantic.

Today, as a member of NATO, Finland is trying to strengthen collective security and promote stability in Eastern Europe, given the threats posed by Russia.

The country actively supports economic integration within the EU and seeks to develop mutually beneficial relations with the Scandinavian and Baltic countries, as well as with other European countries. In the light of the energy crisis in Europe, Finland is focusing on the development of renewable energy sources and increasing energy independence, in particular through the construction of new infrastructure facilities and support for international energy initiatives. Finland pays great attention to sustainable development, including environmental policy, support for green technologies and the fight against climate change.

Many theorists of the geopolitical concept of the Intermarium (also known as the Intermarium) envisage the creation of a union of Central and Eastern European countries, in particular those with common historical and cultural ties. This union includes the Baltic states, Poland, Ukraine, Belarus, and Romania. In a broader version, it is possible to expand the membership to include the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Turkey, and Finland and Sweden. This alliance aims to strengthen economic, defense, and political ties among its members and create a regional power that could balance the influence of Russia and other global players.

While Russia remains the main threat to Finland after the possible self-isolation of its Atlantic partners, European countries do not yet appear to be the decisive force that would immediately come to the rescue if the Russians were to launch threats and a new invasion.

There are several factors that should make Finland interested

  1. Geographical proximity and strategic interests. Finland already has strong political and economic ties with the Baltic states, Poland and other Eastern European countries. Its strategic interest in strengthening security and stability in the region could facilitate closer cooperation with the countries of the Intermarium.
  2. Membership in NATO and the EU. Finland is a member of both of these organizations, which may complicate its integration into the Intermarium, as the alliance is focused on creating a more independent regional bloc, particularly in the defense sector. However, given the growing geopolitical threats from Russia, Finland may be interested in strengthening cooperation with the Intermarium countries to enhance its security.
  3. Economic opportunities. Finland, thanks to its technological base, infrastructure development and high level of education, could be a valuable economic partner for the other countries of the Intermarium. Cooperation in areas such as innovation, energy, and transportation could form the basis for Finland’s further integration into the regional union.

If the small Eastern European countries that have been victims of Russia for centuries finally united to repel Russian aggression, comprising Ukraine, Poland, the Baltic states, as well as Turkey and Finland, Finland would be the scorpion’s sting at the geopolitical tip of the Intermarium, threatening St. Petersburg, while the other countries of the union would keep Russian expansionism under the threat of devastating retaliation. The creation of the Intermarium is a guarantee of stable peace and development for the whole of Eastern Europe, where Russia will be afraid to poke its nose.

Author: Valeriy Maydanyuk

March 19, 2025
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World

No plans to impose a ban on Chinese equipment in Poland

від Юрій Гончаренко March 19, 2025

60 percent of network infrastructure in Poland is built on Chinese equipment

This was reported by “Polish Radio”.

There are no plans to impose any bans or restrictions on Huawei hardware or software in Poland’s telecommunications networks. Last week, the European Commission made such a call to EU countries in the context of 5G networks. According to the Ministry of Digital Affairs, Huawei equipment is used in Polish 5G networks, which is confirmed by numerous reports.

Strand Consult’s report on the 5G market in Europe states that about 60 percent of the network infrastructure in Poland is built on Chinese equipment.

The report cited by the ministry also shows that in 8 out of 31 European countries, more than half of the 5G RAN equipment comes from Chinese suppliers, while in 11 countries, Chinese technology is not used.

March 19, 2025
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Geopolitics

Europe facing the challenge of Trump’s confrontational policy: Ukrainian perspective

від Юрій Гончаренко March 19, 2025

Donald Trump’s return to the White House and the deterioration of relations between the United States and the European Union create a new geopolitical context that requires a deep reflection on Ukraine’s national interests. Trump’s imposition of significant tariffs on European goods is not just an economic challenge, but also a test for the idea of Euro-Atlantic solidarity.

From a Ukrainian perspective, these events are of particular importance, as the stability of transatlantic relations is critical to Ukraine’s security in its fight against Russian aggression. Nevertheless, the current situation provides a unique opportunity to rethink the foundations of European integration and update the vision of Europe’s future with a view to Ukraine’s interests.

For Ukraine, it is especially important to look at the origins of European integration. Robert Schuman, Konrad Adenauer, and Alcide de Gasperi, the founding fathers of a united Europe, saw European unity not only as an economic project but also as a moral revival of the continent after devastating wars. Schumann emphasized that “Europe will not be created overnight or according to a single plan. It will be built through concrete achievements that first create actual solidarity.” This gradualism and focus on practical results is in line with Ukraine’s interests in the process of European integration.

The current challenges posed by the Trump administration are an occasion for Europe to strengthen its own subjectivity in international relations. It is in Ukraine’s interest for the EU to strengthen its position in areas where it is overly dependent on the United States, such as defense and energy, as a stronger and more independent Europe will be a more reliable partner for Ukraine.

The growing support for the idea of creating a single European army reflects a deep-seated need to strengthen European solidarity. For Ukraine, given the bitter experience of confronting Russian aggression, it is crucial that this initiative is not in opposition to NATO, but as a complement to it, strengthening the European pillar of the Alliance.

In the economic sphere, in response to US protectionist measures, Europe should focus on internal consolidation. Building a single market, reducing dependence on external actors in critical sectors, and fairly distributing benefits among all regions and social groups is the path to real economic sustainability, which is also in Ukraine’s interest as a future EU member.

For Ukraine, which aspires to join the European Union, the current challenges are a reminder of the need for a deep understanding of the values of the European community. Ukraine’s integration into the EU is not only a geopolitical choice or an economic necessity, but also a civilizational choice in favor of a society built on the principles of human dignity, solidarity, and effective distribution of powers.

As Konrad Adenauer noted, “it is a mistake and a dangerous mistake to underestimate the difficulties of achieving European integration.” These words are especially relevant today, when Europe is facing numerous challenges – from economic pressure from the United States to Russia’s hybrid aggression, from the migration crisis to energy dependence. In these conditions, Ukraine needs to maintain a strategic vision of its role in the European architecture, demonstrating its readiness to contribute to common security and prosperity.

From the point of view of Ukrainian interests, the future of Europe should not be based on confrontation with the United States, but on building partnerships based on mutual respect and shared values. In this context, Ukraine, which defends not only its sovereignty but also European values against Russian aggression, can become a bridge to restore transatlantic unity on a new basis.

Today’s challenges, in particular the confrontational policies of the Trump administration, are not only a threat but also an opportunity for Europe to rethink the meaning of European integration and revive the vision of a peaceful, prosperous, and solidarity-oriented Europe. It is important for Ukraine to ensure that this process takes into account its interests and contribution to common European security.

Despite the current difficulties, there is still room for optimism. The history of European integration shows that new opportunities emerge from challenges, and a crisis can be the beginning of renewal and revival. In these processes, Ukraine seeks to be not a passive observer, but an active participant, contributing to the formation of a secure, democratic and prosperous Europe.

March 19, 2025
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